In Q3 2025, 42,000 off-plan transactions closed in Dubai in a single quarter. That one number, drawn from Dubai Land Department data, is the most efficient entry point into a question every GCC investor is now asking: does the off-plan engine that has powered Dubai's market for three consecutive years still generate the returns that justify the structural risk of buying an unbuilt asset, and how does that calculus compare to the listed REIT market sitting across the Gulf in Riyadh?

Start with the transaction architecture.

Dubai's off-plan residential market delivered its strongest performance on record in 2025, with off-plan transactions accounting for 65% of total transaction volume. This marks the third consecutive year that off-plan has led Dubai's residential market, reflecting sustained investor confidence and deepening liquidity across launch-led communities.

The full-year picture confirms the structural dominance:

off-plan properties captured a 62.6% share of total transactions, with 134,623 deals valued at approximately AED 293 billion.